Indianapolis Colts vs Baltimore Ravens Pick
Our Indianapolis Colts vs Baltimore Ravens pick has the home team Ravens at -7.0 (-110). On the other hand, you can find the Colts at +8.5 (-130). Thus, for those interested, this game has arbitrage betting possibilities. The Indianapolis Colts (1-3) are second in the AFC South. In the AFC North, the Baltimore Ravens (3-1) top the division.
The Colts are coming off their first win of the season. That occured in Week Four, when Indy beat the Miami Dolphins 27-17. However, prior to that win, Indianapolis lost to the Seattle Seahawks, Los Angeles Rams, and Tennessee Titans. Their losses averaged 8.0 PPG. In contrast, the Ravens lost their initial game of the 2021 season, 33-27 to the Las Vegas Raiders in OT. Since then, Baltimore has beaten the Kansas City Chiefs, Detroit Lions, and Denver Broncos. The first two wins were by an average of 1.5 points. However, in their last win versus the Broncos the Ravens won by 16 points with the final score 23-7.
Colts vs Ravens Projection – Key Stats
Statistically, the Ravens top the Colts in points per game, 26.3-to-28.3. Baltimore is averaging 269.3 YPG in passing and 164.5 YPG in rushing. On the other hand, Indy is recording 236.3 YPG in the air and 112.0 YPG on the ground. On offense, the Ravens have an edge.
On defense, these two teams are statistically close. Baltimore is allowing opponents an average of 24.3 PPG. Simultaneously, Baltimore is giving up 23.0 PPG. The Colt passing D has kept teams to 232.0 YPG. However, the Baltimore defense is being hit for 293.3 passing yards per contest. Conversely, the Ravens are better in limiting ground gains, allowing 85.8-to-114.0 YPG. When it comes to forced fumbles, the visiting Colts have recorded four, recovered five, and scored one touchdown. The Ravens are 1-1 in forced and recovered fumbles with one score. Although Indy is better when it comes to FF, Baltimore tops them in sacks (10-8), TFL (22-14), and PD (14-12). Both teams have made three picks.
Indianapolis Colts vs Baltimore Ravens Pick – Players
Colt quarterback Carson Wentz is completing 63.8 percent of his passes, hitting for five scores while throwing one interception. He’s been sacked 10 times. Wideout Zach Pascal tops the team with three scoring receptions, while Michael Pittman Jr. leads the Colts with 23 catches, averaging 12.1 YPR. Pittman does not yet have a touchdown catch. Dual-threat running back Jonathan Taylor, who’s averaging 4.7 YPA, has scored once. On defense, linebackers Bobby Okereke and Darius Leonard top the team with 28 and 25 tackles. Okereke has also recorded a sack, pass defended, and TFL, while Leonard has one forced and recovered fumble, three PD, two TFL, and an INT. They’re the difference makers on D.
For the Ravens, the exceptionally versatile Lamar Jackson is a major dual threat. Along with tossing four touchdown passes this season, he’s rushed for 279.0 yards, averaging 6.6 YPA and scoring two times. Running backs Ty'Son Williams and Latavius Murray have scored one and three touchdowns respectively. Jackson, who’s completing 60.5 percent of his passes, will be looking to connect with wideout Marquise Brown. Brown, who leads the team with 19 catches, 326 yards, and 17.2 YPR, has scored three times. On defense, the secondary is strong and includes corner Anthony Averett (4 PD, 2 INTs) and safety Chuck Clark (24 TKLs, 1 SCK, 2 TFL, 3 PD). Linebackers Tyus Bowser (2 SCKs, 2 TFL) and Odafe Oweh (2 SCKs, 3 TFL, 1 FF, 1 FR) offers premium play.
Our Indianapolis Colts vs Baltimore Ravens Pick
In creating our Indianapolis Colts vs Baltimore Ravens pick, we find that a major difference is at quarterback. Although Wentz is better by a few percentage points when it comes to pass completions, Jackson is much more versatile, athletic, and dynamic player. Plus, the Raven defense is a tad more efficient. However, Indy ably creates turnovers. Although we find the seven-point spread a but intimidating, we are picking the Ravens. We think Baltimore will be good a for a 10-point or better win.
The Indianapolis Colts and Baltimore Ravens will play on Monday, October 11, 2021. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:15 pm ET at Baltimore’s M&T Bank Stadium. The game will be carried by ESPN.
Summary – Indianapolis Colts vs Baltimore Ravens Prediction:
Point Spread Pick – Baltimore at -7.0 (-110)
