Green Bay vs Cincinnati Pick
Our Green Bay vs Cincinnati pick has the visiting Packers favored by three points (-3.0 at -160). The Bengals are at +3.0 (+140). The Pack’s record stands at 3-1. Thus, they are atop the NFC North. Likewise, Cincy is 3-1 and first in the AFC North. Green Bay holds first place in their division alone. However, Cincinnati is in a three-way tie for first with Cleveland and Baltimore.
Since being humiliated 38-3 by New Orleans in Week 1, the Packers have been perfect. They’ve run off wins against Detroit (35-17), San Francisco (30-28), and Pittsburgh (27-17). At the top of the season, Cincy took down Minnesota 27-24 in OT. The next week, Chicago beat them 20-17. In the last two weeks, the Bengals defeated vs Jacksonville 24-21 and Pittsburgh 24-10.
Packers vs Bengals Projection – Key Stats
Statistically, these teams are fairly even. The Packers are averaging 23.8 PPG while the Bengals have been good for 23.0. Green Bay is generating 333.8 offensive yards per game with 241.3 in the air and 92.5 on the ground. Cincy has been good for 245.0 YPG. Of that total, 247 have been passing and 98 rushing.
The Bengal D has been a bit tighter than Sunday’s opponent, as Cincy is allowing 18.8 PPG and Green Bay 25.0. However, when it comes to yardage, the Packers do a bit better in containing opponents. The Pack is allowing 323.5 YPG and the Bengals 343.5. Green Bay is tighter against the pass and Cincinnati does better versus the run. The Pack has made seven sacks, five TFL, and three INTs, while defending 15 passes. The Bengal D has totaled 11 sacks, 20 TFL, 12 PD, and three picks.
Green Bay vs Cincinnati Pick – Players
For the Packers, Aaron Rodgers is completing 64.5% of his passes. He’s tossed eight TD passes and two picks while being sacked eight times. Five players on Green Bay have caught at least one TD pass. Our Green Bay vs Cincinnati pick notes that wide receiver Davante Adams leads the team with 38 catches. However, dual threat running back Aaron Jones has the most touchdown receptions (3). Jones, who’s averaging 3.7 YPA when rushing, has run for two additional scores. Another note, Randall Cobb is a solid receiver.
For the Bengals, second-year quarterback Joe Burrow is completing an impressive 72.9% of his passes. He’s tossed nine TD passes and four interceptions while being sacked 11 times. The receiving unit, which is loaded, includes wideouts Ja'Marr Chase, Tyler Boyd, and Tee Higgins as well as talented tight end C.J. Uzomah. Chase, who tops the team with 17 receptions and 297 receiving yards, has grabbed four scoring passes and Uzomah two. Running back Joe Mixon has 353 yards and two TDs on 83 rushes. The Bengals could use more consistent output from him.
Our Green Bay vs Cincinnati Pick
In developing our Green Bay vs Cincinnati pick, our tendency was to go with Rodgers and company. Afterall, once they got past their disastrous first game, Rodgers and his teammates have played well. However, young Joe Burrow is one of those QBs who, even this early in his career, always keeps his team in the game. He’s a true athletic playmaker. Plus, the Bengal defense is playing a step above the Packer D. With all of this in mind, we like the Cincinnati Bengals at +3.0 (+140).
The game will be played on Sunday, October 10, 2021. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00 pm ET at Paul Brown Stadium in Cincinnati, OH. The game will be carried by FOX.
Summary – Green Bay Packers vs Cincinnati Bengals Prediction:
Point Spread Pick – Cincinnati Bengals at +3.0 (+140)
