Baltimore vs Miami Pick
Our Baltimore vs Miami pick has the visiting Ravens favored by 7.5 (-7.5 at -102). The underdog, home team Dolphins are at +7.5 (-105). With a record 6-2, the Birds top the AFC North. They’re 2-1 away. On the other hand, the 2-6 Fins are last in the AFC East. Their home record is 1-3. Both teams won their last contests with Baltimore beating Minnesota 34-31 in OT and Miami taking down Houston 17-9.
This Thursday Night Football game will be played on November 11, 2021 in Miami Gardens, FL. Game time at Hard Rock Stadium is 8:20 pm ET. Temperature will be 76 degrees F with winds from the ESE at 4 mph. There’s a 42 percent chance of showers. Weather is not expected to be a factor.
Ravens vs Dolphins Projection – Key Stats
Statistically, the major advantage that Baltimore has is when it comes to points scored. The Ravens are averaging 27.6 PPG while the Dolphins are putting up 17.2. Offensive yards also go to the visitors (442.6 - 315.9 YPG) with Baltimore’s run attack besting Miami’s 161.5-to-75.1 YPG. Both team’s passing defenses are giving up approximately 297 YPG. On defense, there are two areas where Miami outpaces Baltimore. Those are passes defended (48-35) and forced fumbles (10 FF/7 FR-3 FF/2 FR). Baltimore has run one fumble back for a score, while Miami has one pick six.
Baltimore vs Miami Pick – Players
For the Ravens, quarterback Lamar Jackson leads the team in passing and rushing yards. Jackson, an intuitively creative signal caller, has 13 passing and two rushing scores. He’s tossed seven picks and been sacked 24 times. Running back Latavius Murray, who’s questionable for the game, is averaging 3.6 YPA and has scored four TDs. Dual threat Devonta Freeman, who’s scored two rushing TDs and one receiving TD, is good for 5.7 rushing yards per attempt. WR Marquise Brown and tight end Mark Andrews have 46 and 42 receptions respectively. Brown has six scoring catches and Andrews three.
For Miami, quarterback Tua Tagovailoa is listed as questionable. If he does not play, then Jacoby Brissett, who’s appeared in seven games this season, will start. Both possess similar stats with Brissett tossing five TDs and four interceptions and Tagovailoa being good for seven TDs and five picks. Brissett’s been sacked 16 times. Tagovailoa has been taken down just seven. Tight end Mike Gesicki (44 REC) and wideout Jaylen Waddle (56 REC) are Miami’s top receivers with two and three TD catches respectively. Dual-threat running back Myles Gaskin leads the ground game with 86 carries for 313 yards and one score. He’s averaging 3.6 YPA. Gaskin has made 37 catches for 188 yards, scoring three times.
Our Baltimore vs Miami Pick
In creating our Baltimore vs Miami pick, we found that one major difference between these two teams is at quarterback. Jackson has an ability to turn a broken play into a positive. Plus, his rushing chops make him tough for defenses to control. Miami has an edge on D. But Jackson will challenge them. Turnovers could be the difference. If that’s the case, then the Fins certainly have an advantage. Still, the Miami quarterback situation is unsettled. We expect the Dolphins will score about 10 points. On the other hand, we calculate the Ravens output at 27 points. We’re taking Baltimore at -7.5.
This Thursday Night Football game will be carried by FOX and NFL NET.
Summary – Baltimore Ravens vs Miami Dolphins Prediction:
Point Spread Pick – Baltimore Ravens at -7.5 (-102)
