New Mexico State vs Alabama Pick
It’s true, our New Mexico State vs Alabama prediction has a whopping point spread of 51.5. The Independent NMSU Aggies (1-8) come to this contest as massive underdogs. In fact, the biggest dogs of the 2021 NCAAF season. The NMSU Aggies are coming off a 35-13 loss to the Utah State Aggies. Last week, the #2 Alabama Crimson Tide (8-1 Overall, 5-1 SEC) has a tough time beating LSU. They did get the job done, winning 20-14.
Kickoff will be Saturday, November 13, 2021 at 12:00 pm ET. The matchup will be played at Bryant-Denny Stadium in Tuscaloosa, AL. The forecast at game time is sunny with temperatures in the low 50s and zero chance of precipitation. The winds will be 9 mph from the NW.
Aggies vs Crimson Tide Pick – Key Stats
There’s no doubt about it, the Tide is superior to this Aggies team. Due to COVID last year, over 40 members of the NMSU squad entered this season with no college football experience. However, they have had some now, nine games worth. Our New Mexico State vs Alabama prediction observes that the Crimson Tide has recorded some blowouts this season, with the biggest being 64-14 against C-USA’s Southern Mississippi. Interesting to note that the Golden Eagles also have a record of 1-8. Also, like the Aggies, they’re allowing about 17 more points per game than they are scoring. That was a 50-point win. Thus, a 52-point win by Alabama is possible today.
Alabama can run and pass. The Aggies are allowing opponents 174.9 rushing yards per game and another 285.4 in the air. However, New Mexico State’s offense is averaging 278.4 YPG in passing. At the same time, the Tide defense is allowing 215.4 yards per game in the air. If the Aggies are going to score, they’ll have to use air routes.
New Mexico State vs Alabama Prediction – Players
Alabama QB Bryce Young (69.4 COMP%, 28 TDs, 3 INTs, 21 SCKs) makes very few mistakes. He’s got plenty of receivers to toss to, including Jameson Williams (7 TDs) and John Metchie III (6 TDs). Running back Brian Robinson Jr. is averaging 4.7 YPA and has a total of 724 rushing yards and 12 TDs. Along with putting a lights out offense on the field, the Alabama defense offers a fine pass rush and secondary.
New Mexico State quarterback Jonah Johnson has struggled. He’s thrown eight TD passes and seven interceptions while completing 57.5 percent of his attempts. He’s also run for four scores. Johnson has been sacked 26 times. His go-to wideouts are Jared Wyatt (2 TDs) and Isaiah Garcia-Castaneda (4 TDs). RB Juwaun Price is averaging a healthy 5.3 YPA. He’s crossed the goal line six times. Also, Price has made 19 pass catches for 157 yards. The D has forced nine fumbles and recovered six.
Our New Mexico State vs Alabama Prediction
Our New Mexico State vs Alabama prediction notes that the Aggies are allowing opponents 38.1 PPG. The most they’ve given up this season is 55 to Nevada. That was three weeks ago. Alabama is averaging 43 PPG. As noted, the most they’ve scored this season is 63. They also recorded 52 points when they beat Tennessee by 28 points two weeks ago.
We expect that the Crimson Tide will put about 53-to-65 points on the scoreboard. We also see the Aggies scoring from 14-to-17. If that comes to pass, NMSU covers. We like New Mexico State at 51.5 (-110).
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Summary – New Mexico State Aggies vs Alabama Crimson Tide Projection:
Point Spread Pick – New Mexico State Aggies at +51.5 (-110)
