New England Patriots vs Buffalo Bills Week 13 Pick
It’s time for our Monday Night Football New England vs Buffalo prediction. This NFL pick has the spread odds on the Bills at -2.5 (-115), while the Patriots are at +3.0 (-120). You can find the Pats at +2.5 and save some cash, as the half-point puts them at -105. In terms of totals odds, under 41.0 is -103, while the over is -108.
The New England Patriots (8-4 Overall, 5-0 Away) top the AFC East with .667 winning percentage. They Pats have won six straight games. The Buffalo Bills (7-4 Overall, 3-2 Home) are right behind the Pats at .636. They are 3-3 for their last six. This game is for first in the AFC East.
This MNF game will be played on December 6, 2021 and will kick off at 8:15 pm ET. The game will be played at Highmark Stadium in Orchard Park, NY. The weather at game time will note be kind and could be a factor. Temperatures will start at 36 degrees and trend down to 32. It will feels it’s in the lows 20s. There’s a 22 percent chance of precipitation. Winds will be from the West at 21 to 26 mph. This AFC East MNF game will be carried on ESPN.
Patriots vs Bills Pick – Key Stats
Statistically, these two teams are amazingly close. On offense, the Pats are averaging 28.0 PPG, while the Bills are putting up 29.6 PPG. Defensively, New England is allowing opponents 15.8 PPG. Buffalo is giving up 16.5 PPG. Our New England vs Buffalo prediction notes that in terms of defensive yards, the Bills are allowing 50 fewer yards per game than the Pats. Looking at specific defensive stats, New England is better in most, including sacks (30-22), interceptions (19-16), and pick sixes (3-1). Buffalo is better in tackles for a loss (53-47) and fumbles recovered (9-6).
New England vs Buffalo Prediction – Players to Watch
The duel between rookie QB Mac Jones and fourth-year signal caller Josh Allen looks to be the central focus of this game. Both are having solid seasons. Jones is completing 70.3% of his passes, while Allen is hitting 66.8% of his throws. Allen has tossed 25 TD passes and Jones 16, while Allen has tossed 10 picks and Jones 8. Additionally, Jones has been sacked 24 times and Allen 17. There’s give and take here regarding which quarterback is better.
However, New England brings two running backs to this game, Brandon Bolden and Damien Harris (8 TDs), who are also active receivers. Plus, wideout Kendrick Bourne, who leads the team in receptions and receiving touchdowns, is also a dangerous rusher. Plus tight end Hunter Henry has seven receiving TDs.
The Buffalo rush attack is anchored by Devin Singletary (459 YDs, 4.7 YPA, 2 TDs) and mobile QB Josh Allen (383 YDs, 5.6 YPA, 3 TDs). Wideout Stefon Diggs (7 TDs) and tight end Dawson Knox (7 TDs) lead a group of five pass catchers who have totaled 21 TD receptions.
For the Pats, linebacker Matthew Judon (11.5 SCKs, 12 TFL) is a major force. Also, linebacker Kyle Van Noy (4 SCKs, 4 TFL, 9 PD, 1 INT, 2 FF) is a versatile defender. The Patriot secondary is deep and fearsome. It includes safeties Kyle Dugger (4 PD, 3 INTs), Adrian Phillips (5 PD, 4 INTs), and Devin McCourty (8 PD, 2 INTs). Plus corner J.C. Jackson (16 PD, 7 INTs) eats up receivers.The Buffalo defense brings an exceptionally strong secondary to this game that includes safeties Jordan Poyer (8 PD, 5 INTs) and Micah Hyde (7 PD, 3 INTs) and corners Levi Wallace (8 PD, 2 INTs) and Tre'Davious White (6 PD, 1 INT).
New England vs Buffalo Prediction - Spread & Totals
Our New England vs Buffalo prediction finds that what could be the deciding factor in this game is coaching. Bill Belichick vs Sean McDermott. The Bills’ McDermott has done a great job turning this team around and making them competitive. Belichick has done great work with the Pats for more than 20 years. We think, considering the two coaches, plus their respective offenses and defenses, that the Pats have the edge. Take New England at +3.0 (-120). The over/under will likely go under 41 (-103).
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Summary – New England Patriots vs Buffalo Bills Pick:
Point Spread Pick – New England Patriots at +3.0 (-120)
Totals Pick - Under 41.0 (-103)
