Rams vs 49ers Week 10 Pick
Our LA Rams vs San Francisco 49ers prediction for Monday Night Football (MNF) on November 15, 2021 has the visiting Rams favored at -3.5 (-102). The best line for the Niners in this game is +3.5 (-103). The Los Angeles Rams (7-2 Overall, 4-2 Away) are coming off a 28-16 loss to the Tennessee Titans. Prior to that loss, the Rams had won four games in a row. The San Francisco 49ers (3-5 Overall, 0-4 Home) also lost their last game, falling to the Arizona Cardinals 31-17. The Niners, who are 1-4 for their most recent five games, last won a home contest on October 18, 2020. Ironically, in that game they beat their opponent for tonight 24-16. Presently, the Rams are second in the Arizona-led NFC West and the 49ers are third.
This MNF game will be played in Santa Clara, CA at San Francisco’s Levi Stadium. The weather forecast is for cloudy skies with temperatures in the low-to-mid-50s. There’s zero chance of precipitation. Winds will be from the NNW at 6 mph with 9 mph gusts. The game will be carried on ESPN.
Rams vs 49ers Projection – Key Stats
In point per game, Los Angeles is outperforming San Francisco on both offense (29.0-23.1) and defense (21.8 -25.3). The Rams’ 411.4 YPG in offense includes 308.4 in passing and 103.0 in rushing. On the other hand, the Niners are recording 376.6 offensive yards per game. Of those yards, 263.5 are in the air and 113.1 on the ground. On defense, our LA Rams vs San Francisco 49ers prediction notes that the visitors are allowing opponents 272.3 passing yards per game while SF is at just 223.0. In terms of rush defense, the Niners are yielding about 30 more yards per contest than the Rams.
Along with having an edge in terms of basic stats, the LA Rams are best in sacks (28-18), interceptions (12-2), and passess defended (28-25). Conversely, San Francisco leads in TFL (51-39), FF (11-7) and FR (3-2). The Niners also have one pick six and one fumble recovery for a TD. The Rams do not have a defensive score.
LA Rams vs San Francisco 49ers Prediction – Offense
Former Detroit quarterback Matthew Stafford is having a fine season with the Rams, as he’s completing 68.2 percent of his passes and has thrown for over 2,750 yards. Stafford has tossed 23 TDs and six picks while being sacked 12 times. In seven games this season for the 49ers, Jimmy Garoppolo has thrown eight TD passes and five interceptions. He’s been sacked 13 times. Garoppolo, who’s thrown for about 1,000 fewer yards than Stafford, is completing 65.3 percent of his pass attempts.
Stafford has a deep unit of receivers with four of those players catching 19 of his 23 TD passes. The receiving corps is led by WR Cooper Kupp with 74 catches for 1,019 yards and 10 TDs. Wideouts Robert Woods and Van Jefferson and tight end Tyler Higbee are all dangerous. RB Darrell Henderson Jr. is the top rusher for LA, averaging 4.6 YPA. He’s rushed for 562 yards and five scores.
For SF, Garoppolo will look to three primary receivers. Deebo Samuel leads the trio with 46 receptions, 882 yards, and four scoring catches. Tight end George Kittle, who has one TD, is second in receptions (25) and yards (328). Running back Elijah Mitchell is averaging a hefty 5.3 YPA. He’s scored three times while accumulating 469 yards over six games.
Defense
Los Angeles enforcers in the front seven include linebacker Leonard Floyd (7.5 SCKs, 5 TFL) and defensive tackle Aaron Donald (6 SCKs, 7 TFL). Unfortunately, the Rams are without DT Sebastian Joseph-Day (3 SCKs, 3 TFL), as he’s on injured reserve. The secondary, which is strong, is led by cornerback Jalen Ramsey (8 PD, 3 INT, 1 FF). Defensive end Nick Bosa (7 SCKs, 12 TFL, 2 FF) is a top performer for the Niners. Corner Josh Norman (3 PD, 1 INT, 5 FF) offers premium skills in the secondary.
Our LA Rams vs San Francisco 49ers Prediction
We do think that overall Los Angeles is better statistically on offense and defense. However, San Francisco’s defense has been able to manufacture points. Still, we find that the Rams are deeper on both sides of the ball and hold a significant advantage in this game. Our LA Rams vs San Francisco 49ers prediction is the Rams at -3.5.
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Summary – LA Rams vs San Francisco 49ers Pick:
Point Spread Pick – Los Angeles Rams at -3.5 (-102)
