Packers vs Bears Pick
Our Packers vs Bears pick for Sunday, October 17, 2021 has Green Bay anywhere from -4.0 (-117) to -6.0 (-110). You can get Chicago at +6.0 (-110). The Green Bay Packers (4-1) are in first place in the NFC North. They come to Chicago with a four-game winning streak that includes a tight 25-22 OT win against Cincinnati last Sunday. The Chicago Bear (3-2), who started the season 1-2, have won their last two contests. Subsequently, they are coming off of victories against Detroit (24-14) and Las Vegas (20-9).
Green Bay vs Chicago – Stats
Green Bay is out-scoring Chicago 24-to-16.8 PPG. Conversely, the Bears are allowing opponents fewer points. Thus, their PA comes in at 20.0 PPG while the Pack is giving up 24.4. Our Packers vs Bears pick notes that Green Bay comes to Soldier Field averaging 115 more yards in passing than today’s opponent. At the same time, the Bears have been putting up about 26 more yards-per-game in rushing.
On defense, both teams are allowing a little over 100 YPG on the ground. However, the Pack is a bit better when it comes to defensive passing yards (233.5-to-255.8). In terms of sacks, tackles for a loss, and forced fumbles, the Bears possess a major edge. They lead Green Bay in sacks (18-10), TFL (20-10), and FF (3-1). However, Green Bay has a slight edge in passes defended (20-18) and picks (5-4). Chicago does have one pick six.
Key Players - Packers vs Bears
The quarterback edge goes to the Packers’ Aaron Rodgers, as he has more experience and success and better stats. Rodgers is better than Chicago’s Justin Fields in passing percentage (65.6-to-56.4), TDs (10-to-1), and sacks (10-14). Also, Rodgers’ TD-to-INT ratio is 3.33-to-1.00 while Fields’ is 0.5-to-1. Additionally, Green Bay’s two major running backs, Aaron Jones and AJ Dillon, are both healthy. On the other hand, Chicago’s primary rushers, Damien Montgomery and Damien Williams, are out. In terms of receiving corps, the visiting Packers have a decided edge.
Defense is another story. Chicago linebackers Khalil Mack (5.0 SCKs, 5.0 TFL), Robert Quinn (4.5 SCKs, 3.0 TFL), and Roquan Smith (2 SCKs, 2.0 TFL) are fearsome. However, Mack is questionable for today’s game. Smith leads the team with 29 solo tackles and 21 assists. Possible difference makers for the Packers today include LB De'Vondre Campbell (49 TKLs, 3 PD, 2 INTs), safety Adrian Amosand (38 TKLs, 1 PD, 1 INT, , and DT Kenny Clark (23 TKLs, 1 SCK, 3 TFL). Corner Eric Stokes leads the team with 7 PD. He’s also made one pick.
Packers vs Bears Pick – Prediction
Our Packers vs Bears pick notes that we like Green Bay in this matchup for a few reasons. First, is their offense, which has a lot of healthy weapons. Plus, Rodgers gives them a major edge. The Bears’ D is more impressive, especially against the rush and when it come to intimidating quarterbacks. However, the Packer defense should be able to put plenty of pressure on Fields who is young and inexperienced. If you can get the Packers at -4.0, take them. We’re less enthusiastic about betting on Green Bay at -6.0. However, at -6.0, we’d still go with the visitors today.
This October 17, 2021, contest kicks off at 1:00 pm ET (FOX). The weather in Chicago at game time will be sunny and in the low 60s. Winds will be 9-12 MPH out of the WNW. Prior to making your bet, see our reviews of quality sports betting sites on our sportsbooks review page. Also, we’ve got a great Smart Betting Guide, including one section dedicated to smart money NFL betting. Be sure to bookmark Sports Betting Smarts today and check in daily for free NFL, college football and basketball, and NBA projections and much more.
Green Bay Packers vs Chicago Bears – Summary
Green Bay Packers – Spread -4.0 (-117)
