#6 LSU Tigers at Alabama Crimson Tide Basketball Pick
Our NCAAM LSU vs Alabama prediction has the favored Crimson Tide hosting the Tigers. The #6 LSU Tigers are at +4.5 (-107). On the other end, Alabama is -3.5 (-110). The over/under is 151.0 with the over at (-105). The under is -115.
The teams will tip off on Wednesday, January 19, 2022, at 7:00 pm ET. The game will be played at Alabama’s Coleman Coliseum in Tuscaloosa, AL. It will be broadcast on ESPN2
LSU vs Alabama - Keys to the Game
Our LSU vs Alabama prediction notes that the #6 LSU Tigers (15-2 Overall, 3-2 SEC) are fifth in the conference. They are two games behind first-place Auburn, which is ranked number two nationally. The Tigers are 3-2 for their last five games. They last played on January 15, losing to Arkansas 58-65. The unranked Alabama Crimson Tide (11-6 Overall, 2-3 SEC) also last played on January 15, as Mississippi State took them down 78-76. The Crimson Tide have lost their last three games. They’re eighth in the SEC, three games in back of Auburn.
Tigers - Stats and Players
LSU is averaging 75.1 PPG and allowing opponents just 57.0 PPG. They’re shooting 44.7/32.0/72.0 percent. Other stats include 40.5 RPG, 12.8 APG, 4.9 BPG, and 12.2 STP.
The news on LSU point guard Xavier Pinson, who suffered a knee strain on January 8 against Tennessee, is he will be a game-time decision. It will be a huge help if he can play. The star PG is averaging 10.9 PPG and 4.6 APG. He’s shooting 42.2 percent from the floor and 33.3 percent from downtown. Forwards Teri Eason and Darius Days are solid in the paint. Eason who’s shooting 52.9 percent, is averaging 15.4 PPG, 7.0 RPG, 1.5 SPG, and 1.1 BPG. Days is good for 14.0 PPG, 7.6 RPG, and 1.6 SPG. Along with shooting 42.9 percent from the floor, Days is hitting 34.5 percent of his threes. In the backcourt, Eric Gaines and Brandon Murray are averaging 9.2 and 8.8 PPG. Gaines is also recording 3.4 APG.
Crimson Tide - Stats and Players
What differentiates these two teams are points scored and points allowed. The Tide is out scoring the Tigers by 6.7 PPG (81.8), while, with Alabama giving up 74.6 PPG, LSU is allowing 17.0 fewer PPG. Alabama is shooting 45.5/31.8/71.3 percent. As it is with shooting percentages, most of the other Tide stats are fairly close to those put up by LSU, as they are averaging 39.9 RPG, 14.6 APG, and 5.0 BPG. However, Alabama is averaging 7.0 SPG, which is five fewer than LSU.
Alabama is deep at guard with Jaden Shackelford (16.2 PPG, 5.9 RPG, 40.3 FG%, 36.6 3PT%) , Jahvon Quinerly (14.8 PPG, 4.2 APG, 42.1 FG%) and Keon Ellis (12.2 PPG, 6.3 RPG, 1.9 SPG, 44.1 FG%, 35.1 3PT%) being the top-three scorers. Also in back, JD Davison is good for 8.1 PPG and 4.2 APG. Around the rim, Juwan Gary, a 54.8 percent shooter, is averaging 8.7 PPG and 4.4 RPG.
Final Word NCAAM- LSU vs Alabama Prediction
Our LSU vs Alabama prediction notes that in PF/PA differential, the Tigers top the Crimson Tide by 10.3 PPG. That’s significant. Also, the Tigers are dominant in front. However, Alabama possesses a backcourt that can pour in points, dish off assists, and battle for rebounds. With their dominant defense being the difference maker, we’re taking LSU. Bet the Tigers at +4.5 (-107). Also, we like under 151.0 (-115).
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Summary - #1 LSU Tigers at Alabama Crimson Tide Pick - Jan 19 2022
Spread Pick - LSU Tigers +4.5 (-107)
Over/Under - Under 151.0 (-115)