Las Vegas vs Dallas Week 12 Early Pick
Early, soft odds for our Las Vegas vs Dallas prediction offer the Cowboys at -7.0 (-110) and the Raiders at +7.0 (-110). If you’re going with the Cowboys in this game, these present odds look good. Next week, we expect the spread odds to expand to about -10.5.
Note, last week we posted an early, soft odds New England vs Atlanta prediction with the Pats at -4.0. That game is being played tonight with New England now at -7.5. Thus, if you had taken the favored Patriots early, as we suggested, you’d be in a much better position than if you elect to bet on them today. Of course, if you think Atlanta will lose by five to six points tonight, having the Pats at -4.0 and the Falcons at +7.5 would set you up to win on both sides. (We are not recommending that arbitrage wager, just noting it.)
In terms of our current soft odds Raiders vs Cowboys pick, that game will be played on Thanksgiving Day, Thursday, November 25, 2021. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:30 pm ET at AT&T Stadium in Arlington, TX. The game will be telecast on CBS.
Raiders vs Cowboys Pick – Key Stats
Dallas is out scoring Las Vegas 31.6-to-23.3. Plus, the Cowboys are better on points allowed, 21.7-to-25.6. That gives the favored home team a PF/PA total differential of +11.2. Dallas is churning out about 144 more yards than the Raiders on offense. Defensively, both teams are allowing opponents about 371 YPG. Las Vegas is giving up 27 fewer passing yards, while the Cowboys are permitting 28 fewer rushing yards.
When it comes to specific defensive stats, the Cowboys top the Raiders in interceptions (14-4), passes defended (42-36), and TFL (40-29). Dallas has three pick sixes. Vegas tops the Cowboys in sacks but not by very much (21-18). The Raiders are one of the best at forcing fumbles. Las Vegas has forced 11 and recovered seven fumbles. In that category, Dallas is 5-3.
Las Vegas vs Dallas Prediction – Players
QB Derek Carr (67.7 COMP%, 2,826 YDs, 15 TDs, 8 INTs, 20 SCKs) is having a solid season. Carr has a good group of pass catchers to toss to. The unit is led by tight end Darren Waller (44 REC, 494 YDs, 2 TDs) and wideout Hunter Renfrow (52 REC, 494 YDs, 4 TDs). WR Bryan Edwards and running back Kenyan Drake are important contributors with 21 and 29 receptions respectively. Drake has also rushed for 206 yards on 50 carried averaging 4.1 YPA and scoring two TDs. Lead rusher Josh Jacobs, who’s questionable for the game, has run for 296 yards on 80 carries while scoring five TDs. Top performers on defense include end Maxx Crosby (5 SCKs, 5 TFL, 2 PD), LB Denzel Perryman (102 TKLs, 2 PD, 2 FR), and safety Tre'von Moehrig (33 TKLs, 4 PD, 1 INT).
The Cowboys bring a fearsome offense into the game. QB Dak Prescott (70.3 COMP%, 2,341YDs, 20 TDs, 5 INTs, 11 SCKs) is enjoying an MVP season. Our Las Vegas vs Dallas pick notes that six different Cowboys have scored two or more TDs. Prescott’s top three receivers are wideouts CeeDee Lamb (47 REC, 726 YDs, 6 TDs) and Amari Cooper (44 REC, 583 YDs, 5 TDs) and tight end Dalton Schultz (38 REC, 438 YDs, 3 TDs). The Cowboy rushing tandem of Ezekiel Elliot (142 ATT, 663 YDs, 4.7 AVG, 7 TDs) and Tony Pollard (83 ATT, 445 YDs, 5.4 AVG, 1 TD) can be unstoppable. Premium defenders include corners Trevon Diggs (13 PD, 8 INTs, 2 TDs) and Anthony Brown (11 PD, 3 INTs, 1 TD) and linebacker Micah Parsons (6 SCKs, 11 TFL, 2 PD, 1 FF).
Our Las Vegas vs Dallas Prediction
We like the odds on this game, as Dallas has an explosive offense that’s tough to shut down as well as an exceptional defense. Plus, they are at home. To a degree, we expect the Raiders to keep pace. However, we anticipate Dallas pulling away by the second half. In terms of point spread odds, we do expect the Cowboys to eventually be offered at -10.5. Our early, soft odds Las Vegas vs Dallas prediction is the Cowboys at -7.0.
Summary – Las Vegas Raiders vs Dallas Cowboys Pick:
Point Spread Pick – Dallas Cowboys at -7.0 (-110)
