Cincinnati Bengals vs Kansas City Chiefs AFC Championship Pick

Our Cincinnati vs Kansas City prediction is for the AFC Championship of the 2022 playoffs. It will kick off at 3:00 p.m. ET on Sunday, January 30. In this NFL contest, the Chiefs are favored by -7.0 (-110). The underdog Bengals are listed at +7.0 (-110). The total is 54.5 with the over and under offered at -110. Also, see our 49ers vs Rams spread and totals picks for today’s NFC Championship contest.

This AFC Divisional contest will be played at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City, MO. The weather will be sunny with winds from NW at 5 mph and gusts at 6 mph. Temperatures will be in the low 40s. The game will be carried on CBS.

Cincinnati vs Kansas City Prediction – Keys

As we did last Sunday, in this pick we are crunching fewer numbers than we usually do. We think at this point, this game will come down to a few pertinent factors. Conventional wisdom and the general betting public like the Chiefs and the over. However, remember that last week K.C. won by six points and not seven.

Bengals vs Chiefs Quarterbacks and Offense

Joe Burrow and Patrick Mahomes will be battling today. Burrow, like Mahomes, has proven that he can rise to the occasion. This season, Mahomes has had to make major adjustments in his playing style. He’s done it quite successfully, showing patience and utilizing what he’s given by defenses.

Offense

Burrow will be looking to connect with wideout Ja'Marr Chase (13 TDs), tight end C.J. Uzomah (5 TDs), and running back Joe Mixon (3 TDs). In the regular season, Mixon rushed for 1,205 yards and 13 TDs.

The Chiefs are deep in offensive weapons. Along with Mahomes, Kansas City features the rushing duo of Darrel Williams (6 TDs) and Clyde Edwards-Helaire (4 TDs). Wideout Tyreek Hill (9 TDs) and tight end Travis Kelce (9 TDs) lead a talented receiving corps.

Defense

We think in the end this game will come down to Cincinnati’s defense. If they can reduce the efficacy of the dynamic Chief offense, the Bengals will likely win. But can they do that? The come to this game with 42 sacks, 80 TFL, 13 INTs, and 63 PD. Their defense has scored two TDs. Standouts for the Bengals include LB Logan Wilson, who can do it all, corner Chidobe Awuzie, DE Sam Hubbard, and DT B.J. Hill.

In the regular season, the Kansas City defense has scored four touchdowns and forceded 18 fumbles recovering 14. Chris Jones topped the team with nine sacks and eight passes defended. Tyrann Mathieu, who led the team with three picks, is questionable. Their secondary is vulnerable.

Cincinnati vs Kansas City Prediction - Spread & Totals

In this game, we like over at 54.5 (-110). As far as the point spread is concerned, we do think that K.C. has the necessary weapons to override the fine Cincinnati defense. After all, they managed to undo the Bills’ stellar D. In our Cincinnati vs Kansas City prediction we’re taking the Kansas City Chiefs at -7.0 (-110).

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Summary – Cincinnati Bengals vs Kansas City Chiefs AFC Championship Pick:

  • Point Spread Pick – Kansas City Chiefs at -7.0 (-110)

  • Totals Pick - Over 54.5 (-110)

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