Atlanta Falcons vs Buffalo Bills Week 17 Pick
After another successful week of bowl picks, we have our Atlanta vs Buffalo prediction for NFL Week 17. The Atlanta Falcons (7-8 Overall, 5-3 Away) are still in the playoff hunt, as they are second in the NFC South. They are 3-2 for their last five games. In Week 16, the Falcons beat the Detroit Lions 20-16. The Buffalo Bills (9-6 Overall, 4-3 Home) are presently tied for first in the AFC East. They’ve had their ups and downs. On December 6, they lost a weather-battered game to New England 14-10, and the following week, the Bills lost in 33-27 in OT to Tampa Bay. However, the last two weeks, they bear Carolina 31-14 and the Patriots at Gillette Stadium 33-21. They are presently in the AFC East driver’s seat.
This NFL Week 17 game will be played on January, 2, 2022 and will kick off at 1:00 pm ET. The game will be played at Highmark Stadium in Orchard Park, NY. Temperatures will be in the mid-to-low 20 with winds at 9 mph and gusts up to 14. There’s a chance of light snow. The game will be carried on FOX.
Falcons vs Bills Pick – Key Stats
Buffalo is out scoring Atlanta 28.5-to-18.5 PPG and on defense, allowing just 17.6 PPG to the Falcons’ 26.7. The Bills are generating 392.1 YPG of offense, about 70 more than the Falcons, and are plus-33 in passing yards and plus-34 in rushing.
On defense, the Bills are permitting opponents 299.0 total YPG, which is 74 fewer than the Falcons. Their 184.2 passing yards allowed per game are 70 fewer than today’s opponent has allowed. Our Atlanta vs Buffalo prediction notes that the Bills top the Falcons in sacks (28-16), TFL (75-51), PD (74-69), INTs (19-9), and FR (10-8). On the other hand, the Falcons are better on FF (14-11) and pick sixes (2-1).
Atlanta vs Buffalo Prediction – Players to Watch
Of the two quarterbacks, Buffalo’s Josh Allen has the better numbers. This season, Allen has thrown 34 TD passes and 12 picks while completing 65.0 percent of his passes for over 4,000 yards. Plus, he’s run for four TDs and is averaging 6.1 yards per rush. On the other hand, Falcon QB Matt Ryan has 19 TD passes and 11 INTs. Ryan, who’s thrown for over 3,500 yards, has been sacked 32 times. Unlike Allen, he’s not a running threat.
Allen is loaded with talented receivers, including wideout Stefon Diggs and tight end Dawson Knox. They each have caught nine TD passes. The rush attack features Devin Singletary (4 TDs) and Zack Moss (4 TDs). On defense, safeties Jordan Poyer (9 PD, 5 INTs) and Micah Hyde (10 PD, 5 INTs) are especially dangerous.
The Falcons will counter with versatile running back Cordarrelle Patterson. Patterson tops the team with 140 rushes, 579 yards, and six scores, while he’s also third in receptions (49) and receiving yards (523). His five TD catches are the most for any Atlanta player. Ryan’s favorite target is tight end Kyle Pitts (64 REC) while WR Russell Gage comes to today’s game with 54 catches and three scores. On defense, cornerback A.J. Terrell (14 PD, 2 INTs) is a deft defender while linebacker Dante Fowler Jr. (4.5 SCKs, 5 TFL, 3 FF) is a game changer.
Atlanta vs Buffalo Prediction - Spread & Totals
In our Atlanta vs Buffalo prediction, the Bills are at -14.5 (-110) while the over/under is 46.5 with the over at -103 and under at -108. Despite the big spread, we like Buffalo due to their diverse offense, which features numerous weapons, and tight defense. We are taking Buffalo at -14.5 (-110). We’re projecting a score of 32-12 and recommend the under.
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Summary – Atlanta Falcons vs Buffalo Bills Week 17 Pick:
Point Spread Pick – Buffalo Bills -14.5 (-110)
Totals Pick - Under 46.5 (-110)