Army Black Knights vs Navy Midshipmen Pick
Here’s our Army vs Navy prediction for the 122nd meeting between these two teams. This NCAAF free pick observes that bowl bound Army (8-3 Independent) is favored by seven points. Navy (3-8 Overall, 3-5 AAC), which finished eighth in the AAC, is being given seven points. The over/under is at 35.0.
Kickoff will be Saturday, Dec 11, 2021 at3:00 pm ET. The game will be played at MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, NJ. There’s a 20 percent chance of precipitation. The winds will be from the SSW at 24 mph with gusts at 31 mph. It will be cloudy with temperatures in the high 50s and rising into the mid-60s.
Black Knights vs Midshipmen Pick – Stats Edge
The stats in this game favor the Black Knights. Our Army vs Navy prediction notes that both teams rely on the rush attack and rarely pass. Army is rushing for 301.2 YPG, while the Midshipmen are averaging 228.7 YPG. The Army offense is scoring 35.5 PPG. On the other hand, Navy is putting up just 20.4 PPG.
On defense, the Black Knights are allowing only 22.8 PPG. On the other hand, Navy is permitting opponents 29.6 PPG. Finally, on defense, the Army Black Knights also hold an edge in yards allowed. Total defense for Army comes to 324.1 YPG while rushing yards allowed are at 103.6. The Midshipmen are giving up 359.8 yards per game with 131.6 on the ground. Consequently, on both sides of the ball, the Black Knights are superior.
Army vs Navy – Key Players
Six Army rushers have combined for 32 TDs. RB Tyrell Robinson and QB Christian Anderson lead the way in total yards with 582 and 519 respectively. Robinson is averaging close to 10 YPA. Signal caller Anderson, who’s completing 47.7 percent of his passes, has tossed five TD passes and no picks. He’s been sacked just three times. RB Jakobi Buchanan leads the group in TDs with 11.
For Navy, four players have combined for 14 rushing scores with RB Isaac Ruoss leading the team in total ground yards (608) and scoring five times. QB Tai Lavatai, who’s +50 percent in pass completions and has thrown five TDs and two picks while being sacked 17 times, has also rushed for five scores. FB Carlinos Acie, who’s rushed for 546 yards, is averaging 9.6 YPA.
Army vs Navy Prediction - Final Word
We expect Army will have a good day on the ground and expect them to score four or five TDs. At the same time, we look for the Midshipmen to put up about 14 points. Thus, our Army vs Navy prediction is the Black Knights at -7.0 (-110). Additionally, we like the over at 35.0
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Summary – Army Black Knights vs Navy Midshipmen Projection:
Point Spread Pick – Army Black Knights at -7.0 (-110)
Over/Under Pick - Over 34.0 (-110)
